Path: utzoo!attcan!uunet!dino!ux1.cso.uiuc.edu!ux1.cso.uiuc.edu!m.cs.uiuc.edu!nelson
From: nelson@m.cs.uiuc.edu
Newsgroups: comp.arch
Subject: Re: Moore's Law
Message-ID: <3300099@m.cs.uiuc.edu>
Date: 8 Feb 90 01:31:07 GMT
References: <51751@bu.edu.bu.edu>
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Nf-ID: #R:bu.edu.bu.edu:51751:m.cs.uiuc.edu:3300099:000:572
Nf-From: m.cs.uiuc.edu!nelson Feb 7 14:39:00 1990
Xref: dummy dummy:1
X-OldUsenet-Modified: added Xref
Something here seems a bit flaky... If, in fact, that doubling every 10
months rule holds back to 1960, and we assume that there was only ONE
transistor then, we have 20 trans. for every person on Earth. Now, if
we say that there was only ONE Burroughs 5000 (introduced in 1960), then
it follows that each person has the equivalent of 20 of those machines.
This is still not reasonable, though. I think a figure of about
TEN MILLION transistors in 1960 is reasonable. That equates to 200
million per person on Earth now, and that seems much too large...